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Ray Dalio's Bubble Analysis (conclusion ~80%, but bubbles don't only pop at 100%)

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The link below is Ray Dalio's analysis "Are We In a Stock Market Bubble?"

Brutally summarized: we're at about 77% of the historical maximum bubble. The point worth noting isn't whether the bubble reaches 100% — what matters more is whether there is (or what is) a momentum that pops the bubble. For reference, subprime burst at 60%. 

www.bridgewater.com/research-and-insights/ray-dalio-stock-market-bubble

 

Stock Market Bubble?

I’ve seen a lot of bubbles in my time and I have studied even more in history, so I know what I mean by a bubble and I systemized it into a “bubble indicator” that I monitor to help give me perspective on each market.

www.bridgewater.com

If you use Whale with Papago on right-click, or Chrome with its right-click Korean translation, it's worth a read.

For the record, this was my first time comparing Papago and Google Translate, and — oh, Whale/Papago's translation was relatively, noticeably more accurate. 

End. 

This English version was translated by Claude.

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Pleasant Charles — UI/UX researcher at AIT. Keeping notes on design, planning, and slow days here since 2010.

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