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Rationalizing the shrinking of existing industries as the smartphone's fault

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Many media outlets rationalize the shrinking of existing industries as an effect of the smartphone..

But in reality, only the use-cases and needs based on situation have changed.



*

Internet rollout -> drop in landline use?

PDA rollout -> drop in landline use? drop in computer use?

Smartphone rollout -> drop in landlines? drop in computer use? drop in TV viewership? drop in book purchases? 

(book "After Smart," p. 210)


*

ipod -> iphone        =!        iTunes Store  -> App Store (Google Play)




*

Wired vs Wireless     No strong correlation with industry rise and decline 

    = For about 9 years after each new arrival, the gap doesn't widen that much.)





It isn't an issue of technological progression from wired -> wireless -> text (-> internet) or of user migration;

    = the more fundamental cause is the shift in users' perception and needs from voice -> text. 

   (more of a humanistic change, a change in how we think about communication (conversation) itself.)


This English version was translated by Claude.

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Pleasant Charles — UI/UX researcher at AIT. Keeping notes on design, planning, and slow days here since 2010.

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