A Developer Is a Job, but a Programmer Is a Literacy

I had jotted the title down a while back, and only after a long while did I get around to writing the body.
The trigger for moving the writing along was reading a post titled 'Will AI replace developers? (As efficiency improves, will demand decline?)'.

Well..

Whether AI will completely replace developers, we cannot know.
But programming is increasingly likely to settle in as ordinary common sense for ordinary people.

At this point, I'd say it's not that developers will disappear because of AI; rather, the position itself may be shaken up by ordinary people.

For example, the arrival of digital cameras was a great challenge for traditional film photographers, and at the same time, opened the door to new opportunities for someone. Afterwards, the spread of smartphones and advances in technology brought dramatic changes to the photography market, and the way of approaching photos provided an innovative inflection point not only for professionals but for the general public as well.

Won't developers experience a similar flow?

Personally, what's important at this point is that the debate of 'Will AI replace developers?' is itself not the core question.

The very reason I finally got to writing this long-postponed piece is precisely this.
It's like saying 'XBOX's real competitor may not be Nintendo but Nike.'
Because the direction of the question was set wrong from the start, the debate around it is in great danger of straying from the essence.

What we should pay attention to is not whether the developer occupation will go extinct, but how the changes in programming and technology will seep into and affect people's lives and work.





Just, that's how I see it -